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Longford vs Treaty United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Curtis C.
36' Event
Byrne M.
58'
Sub
Kareem D. In: Feeney B.
Out: Kareem D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Longford and Treaty United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treaty United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Longford
20%
Draws
42%
Treaty United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Longford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Longford taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Longford Clean Sheet 18%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Treaty United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Treaty United
0:2
Jul 31, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Longford
0:1
May 29, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Treaty United
3:1
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Longford
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs Longford
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Curtis C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Byrne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 40 / 100
Treaty United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Treaty United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Longford's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Treaty United has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Longford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Treaty United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1
Longford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

Treaty United

(Away)
09 Oct
Athlone
1 : 2
Treaty United
02 Oct
Treaty United
0 : 4
UC Dublin
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)