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Longford vs Wexford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Murtagh D.
34'
Manuel P.
56'
Moore K.

AI Match Summary

Longford in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Longford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Longford
6%
Draws
4%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wexford haven't matched Longford's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Longford taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Longford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Longford Clean Sheet 68%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Wexford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
0:1
May 3, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Murtagh D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irhue O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wexford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 95 / 100
Wexford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Wexford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Longford scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Wexford conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Longford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Wexford
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822