Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loo JK vs Ambla

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Pruuli M.
18' Event
Erdei V.
36' Event
Erdei V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-5, with Ambla advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Loo JK
15%
Draws
57%
Ambla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Ambla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Loo JK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Ambla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ambla, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Loo JK Clean Sheet 10%
Ambla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loo JK Ambla
Matches Played 17 12
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.75
Goals Conceded 4.06 5.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.90 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2013 Estonian Cup
Loo JK vs Ambla
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loo JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Metskula M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pruuli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3
Avg xA / game 1.95

Ambla Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdei V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Joendi E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.24
Avg xA / game 1.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loo JK 56 / 100
Ambla 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loo JK Ambla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loo JK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ambla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Loo JK found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

Ambla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Loo JK VS Ambla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.43
3.5 Goals Conceded 6.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Loo JK

(Home)
07 Aug
Loo JK
2 : 4
Helm
29 Jul
Maksatransport
5 : 1
Loo JK
27 Jun
ReUnited
3 : 1
Loo JK
21 Jul
Loo JK
2 : 3
FC Tallinn
29 Jun
Loo JK
4 : 2
FC Alliance U21
Page 1 of 4

Ambla

(Away)
18 Jul
Ambla
1 : 6
Viimsi JK
12 Jun
Mulgi
1 : 2
Ambla
26 Jul
Ambla
1 : 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu
24 Jul
Ambla
2 : 5
Torva JK
07 Jun
Castovanni Eagles 2
0 : 4
Ambla
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FCI Tallinn 9
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Tallinna Kalev 5
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
TBD -
TBD -
Smuuli -
Igiliikur 1
FC KIIU 0
TBD -
FC Tartu -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Taaksi -
Trummi 7
Helios 4
Pokkeriprod 1
FC Ararat 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Pirita -
Merkuur Tartu -
Lasnamae 5
Saku Sporting 0
TBD -
Puuma -
Tammeka Tartu II 4
Soccernet 0
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Elva 1
Ambla 5
Loo JK 3
Rakvere Wiswald 0
FCI Tallinn II 7
Vaatsa Vald -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Tartu Harrastajad 0
Saue JK Laagri 9
Flora 18
Reaal 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Imavere Forss 4
Tapa 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 4
Kalju 14
Puhajarve Revali 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Nomme -
Lihula JK 7
Lelle 1
Voru 0
Levadia 11
Viimsi JK 4
Kaitseliit 0
Jogeva 1
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Metropool Parnu 1
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Legion -
Kose JK -
Ganvix Turi 0
Eston Villa 1
Navi Vutiselts 5
Kaitseliit II 1
Torva JK 1
Tartu SK 10 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Kalju III 1
TBD -
FC Balteco -
Tartu Ulikool -
Taebla -
Dinamo Tallinn 1
Otepaa 2
Nomme Utd 1
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Haiba -
Shnelli 3
Raudteetoolised 2
Parnu-Jaagupi -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kuressaare 3
Kadakas 0
Roosad Pantrid 1
JK Poseidon 8
Oismae Torm 4
Eesti Vaitlusselts 0
Valga Warrior 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Tartu SK 10 II 4
Maccabi 2
TBD -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Twister Tallinn 0
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 4
Kose 1
Leisi 2
FC Lootos Polva 5
Rapla 6
Donkers 0
Kalju II 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 11
Retro 1
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tartu Tehased 3
Eestimaa Kasakad 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
Santos Tartu 3
1/32-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Viimsi MRJK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 5
Smuuli 1
Igiliikur 0
FC Tartu 4
Tartu JK Welco 5
SK Taaksi 2
Trummi 1
FC Ararat 2
Jarva-Jaani 2
Merkuur Tartu 0
Lasnamae 1
Puuma 5
Tammeka Tartu II 2
Elva 1
Ambla 1
FCI Tallinn II 8
Vaatsa Vald 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
IAFA Estonia 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
Flora 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Imavere Forss 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 14
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Lihula JK 0
Levadia 8
Viimsi JK 1
Ulikool Tallinn 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Legion 8
Eston Villa 0
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tartu SK 10 7
Parnu Linnameeskond 7
FC Balteco 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Otepaa 3
Nomme Utd 7
Haiba 1
Shnelli 0
Johvi Phoenix 13
Kuressaare 6
JK Poseidon 1
Oismae Torm 0
Tallinn Piraaja 6
Tartu SK 10 II -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 7
FC Lootos Polva 1
Rapla 0
Raasiku Joker 9
Narva 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Tartu Tehased 0
Santos Tartu 8
1/16-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
FC Tartu 2
Tartu JK Welco 2
FC Ararat 1
Jarva-Jaani 1
Puuma 8
Tammeka Tartu II 2
FCI Tallinn II 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Saue JK Laagri 4
Flora 2
Tulevik 1
Kalju 1
Levadia 3
Viimsi JK 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Legion 1
Tartu SK 10 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Otepaa 1
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 6
Kuressaare 1
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Kivioli Irbis 5
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 0
Santos Tartu 1
1/8-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
FC Tartu 1
Tartu JK Welco 3
Puuma 4
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora 0
Levadia 2
Viimsi JK 1
Tartu SK 10 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kivioli Irbis 0
Santos Tartu 11
Quarter-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Puuma 0
Tammeka Tartu II -
Levadia -
Viimsi JK 1
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kuressaare 1
Santos Tartu 3
Semi-finals
FCI Tallinn 0
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 1
Santos Tartu 3
Final
Levadia 4
Santos Tartu 0