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Lorca Deportiva II vs Moratalla Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Lorca Deportiva II and Moratalla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca Deportiva II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lorca Deportiva II
20%
Draws
30%
Moratalla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorca Deportiva II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moratalla come out ahead of Lorca Deportiva II on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Lorca Deportiva II taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 19%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva II Moratalla
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Lorca Deportiva II
1:1
Dec 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Moratalla
2:3
Mar 15, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Moratalla
2:0
Oct 27, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Moratalla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva II 85 / 100
Moratalla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva II Moratalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moratalla has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Lorca Deportiva II scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Lorca Deportiva II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moratalla
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca Deportiva II

(Home)
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
CD Lumbreras
02 May
Moratalla
1 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
Mazarron FC
19 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
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Moratalla

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)