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Lorca Deportiva II vs Pinatar

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pinatar in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lorca Deportiva II
35%
Draws
42%
Pinatar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Pinatar have won more games recently than Lorca Deportiva II.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pinatar here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 17%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva II Pinatar
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 8 23
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.95
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Lorca Deportiva II
2:0
Nov 22, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Pinatar
0:3
May 4, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Pinatar
0:3
Dec 16, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Lorca Deportiva II
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva II 31 / 100
Pinatar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva II Pinatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lorca Deportiva II scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lorca Deportiva II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pinatar let in goals in 59% of their last 41 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pinatar
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca Deportiva II

(Home)
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
CD Lumbreras
02 May
Moratalla
1 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
Mazarron FC
19 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
Page 1 of 7

Pinatar

(Away)
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0
CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)