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Lorca Deportiva vs Aguilas FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
1 - 0
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Mas J.
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Fernandez S.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Castedo J.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Lorca Deportiva in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lorca Deportiva
35%
Draws
32%
Aguilas FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguilas FC lately — more wins on the board than Lorca Deportiva.
  • Win probability leans Lorca Deportiva's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca Deportiva Aguilas FC
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.69 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
1:0
Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Lorca Deportiva vs Aguilas FC
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs Aguilas FC
0:1
Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca Deportiva 50 / 100
Aguilas FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca Deportiva Aguilas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Lorca Deportiva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lorca Deportiva scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lorca Deportiva VS Aguilas FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca Deportiva

(Home)
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
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Aguilas FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Huesca
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
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