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Lorca FC vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019 Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019 game between Lorca FC and Estudiantes de Murcia CF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lorca FC
6%
Draws
90%
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estudiantes de Murcia CF come out ahead of Lorca FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Estudiantes de Murcia CF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lorca FC Clean Sheet 15%
Estudiantes de Murcia CF Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorca FC Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca FC vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF
1:0
Jan 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Lorca FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorca FC 10 / 100
Estudiantes de Murcia CF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorca FC Estudiantes de Murcia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estudiantes de Murcia CF conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lorca FC scored in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Lorca FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lorca FC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorca FC

(Home)
13 Jun
Lorca FC
1 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
06 Jun
Minerva
2 : 1
Lorca FC
30 May
Lorca FC
0 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 May
Plus Ultra
2 : 1
Lorca FC
16 May
Lorca FC
1 : 3
Club Olimpico de Totana
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Estudiantes de Murcia CF

(Away)
19 May
Lorca FC
1 : 0
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
12 May
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 1
La Union (Malacitano)
05 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 2
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
01 May
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
27 Apr
EDMF Churra
2 : 1
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yeclano42278788:3089
2Lorca Deportiva42285969:2889
3Lorca FC422214673:2880
4EDMF Churra422381163:5077
5CA Pulpileno422113865:4176
6Aguilas FC422014856:3374
7UCAM Murcia B4216151152:4263
8Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC4217111453:5162
9Deportiva Minera4214131545:5555
10Mazarron CF4214121648:5654
11Club Olimpico de Totana421591854:6454
12UD Los Garres4213141536:4853
13Minerva421491944:5351
14Real Murcia B421491956:6451
15Muleno CF4212131744:5949
16Huercal-Overa CF421462256:6848
17FC Cartagena SAD B4211151651:5348
18Ciudad de Murcia421282243:7044
19La Union (Malacitano)421272342:5543
20Estudiantes de Murcia CF4210122037:5542
21CD Algar42982529:7135
22Ciudad Cieza421052736:6632
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)