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Lorenskog vs Grorud

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Grorud advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lorenskog
6%
Draws
4%
Grorud
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lorenskog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lorenskog come out ahead of Grorud on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lorenskog a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Lorenskog have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grorud, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lorenskog Clean Sheet 16%
Grorud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorenskog Grorud
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Lorenskog vs Grorud
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Lorenskog vs Grorud
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Grorud vs Lorenskog
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 OBOS Supercup
Lorenskog vs Grorud
0:4
Oct 12, 2013 Division 2 - Group 4
Lorenskog vs Grorud
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorenskog 84 / 100
Grorud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorenskog Grorud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorenskog scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Lorenskog went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Grorud has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lorenskog VS Grorud
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorenskog

(Home)
27 Jun
Lorenskog
1 : 0
Grorud
21 Jun
Trygg/Lade
1 : 4
Lorenskog
14 Jun
Lorenskog
6 : 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
31 May
Honefoss
1 : 1
Lorenskog
25 May
Lorenskog
1 : 0
Levanger
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Grorud

(Away)
27 Jun
Lorenskog
1 : 0
Grorud
21 Jun
Grorud
3 : 0
Junkeren
13 Jun
Ull/Kisa
2 : 1
Grorud
31 May
Grorud
2 : 1
Trygg/Lade
23 May
Grorud
3 : 2
Honefoss
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eidsvold TF42208:68
2Grorud41305:36
3Lorenskog41218:85
4Eik-Tonsberg41128:94
5Baerum40227:102
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skeid431014:610
2Honefoss421113:87
3Asker42029:96
4Ull/Kisa41128:104
5Lokomotiv Oslo40133:141
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)