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Lorentzweiler vs Mondorf

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021
Sun, Mar 7, 2021
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Lorentzweiler have averaged 1.32 scored and 2.74 conceded recently, against Mondorf's 2.3 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Lorentzweiler have won 0 to Mondorf's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.38 - 2.63) back Mondorf to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lorentzweiler
15%
Draws
51%
Mondorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mondorf lately — more wins on the board than Lorentzweiler.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Mondorf taking it.
  • Mondorf arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lorentzweiler Clean Sheet 10%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorentzweiler Mondorf
Matches Played 19 37
Wins 7 24
Draws 0 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.32 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.74 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Luxembourg Cup
Lorentzweiler vs Mondorf
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorentzweiler 10 / 100
Mondorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorentzweiler Mondorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondorf let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Lorentzweiler found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (19 games).

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lorentzweiler stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorentzweiler VS Mondorf
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorentzweiler

(Home)
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4
Lorentzweiler
16 Jul
Lorentzweiler
3 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
09 Nov
Lorentzweiler
2 : 4
FC Rodange 91
21 Sept
Gasperich
0 : 1
Lorentzweiler
06 Oct
Lorentzweiler
0 : 2
Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 4

Mondorf

(Away)
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10
Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2
Mondorf
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Union Titus Petange 2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Troisvierges 0
Racing Luxembourg 11
FC Schengen 1
Differdange 5
FC Ehlerange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Jeunesse Canach 4
Syra Mensdorf 1
FC Mamer 0
FF Norden 1
Luxembourg City 2
Avenir Beggen 3
Mondercange 2
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Fola 4
Echternach 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Rumelange 10
FC Munsbach 2
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Mertzig 0
Dudelange 5
Oberkorn 2
Esch 1
US Feulen 0
Hostert 1
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Hesperange 4
Erpeldange 1
Schifflange 3
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Wiltz 8
CS Sanem 2
Bettembourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 6
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 4
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 6
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
Union Tetange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -
Blo Weiss Medernach -
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
AS Luxembourg/Porto 2
Victoria Rosport 5
Cebra 2
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange -
Ettelbruck -
Racing Luxembourg -
Differdange -
FC Ehlerange -
Jeunesse Canach -
Syra Mensdorf -
Luxembourg City -
Avenir Beggen -
Fola -
Mertert/Wasserbillig -
Rumelange -
Alisontia Steinsel -
Dudelange -
Oberkorn -
Hostert -
Kaerjeng -
Hesperange -
Schifflange -
Wiltz -
CS Sanem -
FC Rodange 91 -
Lorentzweiler -
Mondorf -
Bissen -
Jeunesse Esch -
Jeunesse Junglinster -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler -
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
UNA Strassen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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