Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorient II vs Bayonne

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Traore N.

AI Match Summary

Bayonne in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lorient II
15%
Draws
58%
Bayonne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient II haven't matched Bayonne's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Bayonne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bayonne have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 16%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Bayonne
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Lorient II vs Bayonne
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Bayonne
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Lorient II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 23 / 100
Bayonne 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Bayonne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayonne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient II's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bayonne conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Lorient II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Bayonne
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
Page 1 of 6

Bayonne

(Away)
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
21 Aug
Granville
1 : 3
Bayonne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Angouleme CFC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
3 Dinan 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Stade Briochin 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
5 Granville 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
6 Avranches 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
7 Tarbes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Saint-Malo 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
10 Lorient II 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
11 St. Colomban Locmine 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Les Herbiers 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
13 Saumur Olympique 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 Pontivy 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Chauray 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)