Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lorient II vs Chauray

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Haribou S.
57' Event
Haribou S.
88' Event
Lemoine J.

AI Match Summary

Lorient II in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorient II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lorient II
20%
Draws
29%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lorient II at 1.41 per game, Chauray at 1.17.
  • Win probability leans Lorient II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chauray have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 11%
Chauray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Chauray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Lorient II vs Chauray
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Chauray
0:3
Aug 30, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Lorient II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Haribou S.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemoine J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 83 / 100
Chauray 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lorient II scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Chauray let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Lorient II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Chauray
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Angouleme CFC
3 : 2
Lorient II
02 May
Lorient II
3 : 0
Saint-Malo
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Chauray

(Away)
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Saint-Malo 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
3 Avranches 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
4 Angouleme CFC 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Stade Briochin 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Tarbes 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Lorient II 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Dinan 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Pontivy 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
10 St. Colomban Locmine 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Saumur Olympique 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Granville 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
13 Les Herbiers 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
14 Chauray 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Le Poire Sur Vie 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)