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Stadium Background

Lorient II vs Chauray

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Sat, Feb 7, 2026
0 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Haribou S.

AI Match Summary

Lorient II host Chauray in the National 2 - Group A 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Chauray have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Lorient II have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Lorient II have won 1 to Chauray's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.50) back Chauray to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Lorient II
20%
Draws
16%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lorient II at 1.38 per game, Chauray at 1.17.
  • Win probability leans Lorient II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Chauray here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 68%
Chauray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Chauray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Lorient II vs Chauray
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Chauray
0:3
Aug 30, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Lorient II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Haribou S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chauray Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 95 / 100
Chauray 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lorient II scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Chauray has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Chauray's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Chauray
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Angouleme CFC
3 : 2
Lorient II
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Chauray

(Away)
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)