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Lorient II vs Guingamp II

France France

National 2 - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Kegongo C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2023/2024 game between Lorient II and Guingamp II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorient II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lorient II
15%
Draws
34%
Guingamp II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lorient II's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 17%
Guingamp II Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Guingamp II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Lorient II vs Guingamp II
1:0
Sep 2, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Guingamp II vs Lorient II
1:0
Mar 19, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Guingamp II vs Lorient II
1:2
Sep 25, 2021 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Guingamp II
3:0
Apr 10, 2021 National 1 - Group A
Guingamp II vs Lorient II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kegongo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Guingamp II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 48 / 100
Guingamp II 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Guingamp II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp II has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Lorient II's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Guingamp II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
Page 1 of 7

Guingamp II

(Away)
09 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 1
Guingamp II
18 May
Guingamp II
2 : 3
Saint-Malo
11 May
Racing Club de France
2 : 0
Guingamp II
27 Apr
Guingamp II
2 : 2
AF Virois
20 Apr
Beauvais
0 : 3
Guingamp II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boulogne 26 15 6 5 48:29 51
2 Saint-Malo 26 12 8 6 38:23 44
3 Granville 26 12 7 7 35:31 43
4 Chambly 26 12 7 7 39:25 38
5 Dinan 26 11 5 10 41:44 38
6 Stade Briochin 26 10 7 9 31:26 37
7 Beauvais 26 10 7 9 38:31 37
8 Aubervilliers 26 11 3 12 30:39 36
9 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 26 8 10 8 29:31 34
10 Racing Club de France 26 10 4 12 30:35 34
11 Lorient II 26 8 8 10 36:39 32
12 Borgo 26 9 3 14 37:49 30
13 AF Virois 26 8 3 15 35:43 27
14 Guingamp II 26 6 2 18 28:50 20
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)