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Lorient II vs Le Poire Sur Vie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sow A.
65' Event
Siba S.
88' Event
Chauvet E.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Lorient II and Le Poire Sur Vie finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Poire Sur Vie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lorient II
15%
Draws
51%
Le Poire Sur Vie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Poire Sur Vie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Lorient II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lorient II a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Le Poire Sur Vie have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 15%
Le Poire Sur Vie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Le Poire Sur Vie
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Lorient II vs Le Poire Sur Vie
1:2
Mar 13, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Le Poire Sur Vie
0:4
Sep 18, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Le Poire Sur Vie vs Lorient II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Siba S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Le Poire Sur Vie Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chauvet E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 48 / 100
Le Poire Sur Vie 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Le Poire Sur Vie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Poire Sur Vie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Lorient II's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Lorient II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Le Poire Sur Vie
2 Goals Scored 1.14
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3
Lorient II
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
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Le Poire Sur Vie

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
3 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
05 Sept
Granville
2 : 1
Le Poire Sur Vie
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)