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Lorient II vs Saint-Malo

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Fromager C.
34' Event
Fromager C.
48' Event
Fromager C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lorient II and Saint-Malo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorient II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lorient II
33%
Draws
27%
Saint-Malo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lorient II haven't matched Saint-Malo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lorient II a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 68%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Saint-Malo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
4:2
Mar 16, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
0:3
Feb 5, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fromager C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Saint-Malo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 50 / 100
Saint-Malo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Saint-Malo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lorient II scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Saint-Malo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Lorient II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Saint-Malo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325