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Stadium Background

Lorient II vs Saint-Malo

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Fromager C.
34' Event
Fromager C.
48' Event
Fromager C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lorient II and Saint-Malo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorient II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lorient II
35%
Draws
37%
Saint-Malo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saint-Malo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lorient II haven't matched Saint-Malo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Saint-Malo
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
4:2
Mar 16, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
0:3
Feb 5, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fromager C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Malo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 32 / 100
Saint-Malo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Saint-Malo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lorient II scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Saint-Malo has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Lorient II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Saint-Malo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
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Saint-Malo

(Away)
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2
Saint-Malo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)