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Lorient II vs Saint-Malo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Guerineau T.
23' Event
Haribou S.
45' Event
Mouledous A.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Lorient II and Saint-Malo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorient II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lorient II
20%
Draws
33%
Saint-Malo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint-Malo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Saint-Malo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
3:1
May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
4:2
Mar 16, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Saint-Malo vs Lorient II
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Lorient II vs Saint-Malo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouledous A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haribou S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerineau T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 31 / 100
Saint-Malo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Saint-Malo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Lorient II's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Saint-Malo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Lorient II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Saint-Malo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
31 Oct
Granville
0 : 0
Lorient II
17 Oct
Lorient II
3 : 1
Saint-Malo
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3
Lorient II
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
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Saint-Malo

(Away)
31 Oct
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
17 Oct
Lorient II
3 : 1
Saint-Malo
03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)