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Lorient II vs Stade Poitevin

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Panelle A.
90' Event
Diop S.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lorient II and Stade Poitevin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lorient II
35%
Draws
24%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Poitevin haven't matched Lorient II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lorient II a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.41 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Stade Poitevin
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Lorient II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Panelle A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 66 / 100
Stade Poitevin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Stade Poitevin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Poitevin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Lorient II's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lorient II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Stade Poitevin
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lorient II

(Home)
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Angouleme CFC
3 : 2
Lorient II
02 May
Lorient II
3 : 0
Saint-Malo
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Stade Poitevin

(Away)
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Stade Poitevin
1 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
25 Apr
Stade Poitevin
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
18 Apr
Granville
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)