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Lorient II vs Stade Poitevin

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Panelle A.
90' Event
Diop S.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A game between Lorient II and Stade Poitevin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lorient II
28%
Draws
22%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Stade Poitevin haven't matched Lorient II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lorient II a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 19%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lorient II Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Lorient II vs Stade Poitevin
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Lorient II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Panelle A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lorient II 49 / 100
Stade Poitevin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lorient II Stade Poitevin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient II's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stade Poitevin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lorient II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lorient II VS Stade Poitevin
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325