Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Katseris P.
37'
37'
Balde I.
Assist: Katseris P.
39'
39'
Mbamba N.
Assist: Katseris P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lorient
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lorient have won more games recently than Toulouse.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lorient Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Toulouse
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lorient
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Toulouse
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Toulouse
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lorient
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorient Compare
Top Goalscorer Balde I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mbamba N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Toulouse Compare
Top Goalscorer Tengstedt C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jorgensen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorient 31 / 100
Toulouse 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorient Toulouse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lorient Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toulouse let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Lorient scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Lorient went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lorient VS Toulouse
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorient
(Home) 12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1 Lorient
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2 Troyes
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0 Lorient
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1 Lorient
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2 Troyes
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1 UNFP
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0 Nantes
17 May
Lorient
0 : 2 Le Havre
Page 1 of 3
Toulouse
(Away) 12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2 Lyon
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0 Toulouse
05 Aug
Al Ain
0 : 1 Toulouse
17 May
Nantes
0 : 0 Toulouse
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 8 |
| 5 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 7 | PSG | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 9 | Brest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 12 | Troyes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 13 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
