Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Katseris P.
37'
37'
Balde I.
Assist: Katseris P.
39'
39'
Mbamba N.
Assist: Katseris P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lorient
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Lorient have won more games recently than Toulouse.
- Lorient are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lorient Clean Sheet 19%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Toulouse
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lorient
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Toulouse
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Toulouse
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lorient
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lorient Compare
Top Goalscorer Balde I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mbamba N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Toulouse Compare
Top Goalscorer Tengstedt C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jorgensen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lorient 36 / 100
Toulouse 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lorient Toulouse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toulouse let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Lorient scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Lorient went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lorient VS Toulouse
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lorient
(Home) 02 Nov
Lorient
0 : 2 Brest
25 Oct
Angers
0 : 0 Lorient
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0 Monaco
10 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0 Paris FC
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1 Lorient
Page 1 of 7
02 Nov
Lorient
0 : 2 Brest
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0 Monaco
10 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0 Paris FC
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2 Troyes
Page 1 of 3
Toulouse
(Away) 01 Nov
Marseille
2 : 0 Toulouse
25 Oct
Toulouse
0 : 0 Troyes
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3 Toulouse
10 Oct
Monaco
2 : 2 Toulouse
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3 Pau
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Marseille
2 : 0 Toulouse
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3 Toulouse
10 Oct
Monaco
2 : 2 Toulouse
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Brest | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
