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Lornano Badesse vs Arezzo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Lucatti G.
90' Event
Gozzerini M.

AI Match Summary

Lornano Badesse in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lornano Badesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lornano Badesse
15%
Draws
26%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lornano Badesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lornano Badesse lately — more wins on the board than Arezzo.
  • Lornano Badesse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lornano Badesse Arezzo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Arezzo
2:0
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Arezzo vs Lornano Badesse
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lornano Badesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gozzerini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Arezzo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lornano Badesse 95 / 100
Arezzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lornano Badesse Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lornano Badesse scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Arezzo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Lornano Badesse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arezzo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lornano Badesse

(Home)
15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0
Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0
Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3
Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1
Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6

Arezzo

(Away)
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 26 3 5 86:30 81
2 Poggibonsi 34 23 5 6 61:28 74
3 Arezzo 34 18 10 6 65:45 64
4 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 9 7 63:30 63
5 Pianese 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
6 Lornano Badesse 34 15 9 10 47:43 54
7 Sporting Trestina 34 13 10 11 48:43 49
8 Flaminia 34 13 7 14 49:50 46
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 10 12 12 36:48 42
10 Montespaccato 34 11 9 14 43:44 42
11 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 11 9 14 39:40 42
12 Sangiovannese 34 9 14 11 37:39 41
13 Scandicci 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
14 FC Rieti 34 9 8 17 39:58 35
15 Foligno 34 9 8 17 46:65 35
16 Unipomezia 34 8 7 19 38:64 31
17 Cannara 34 5 9 20 27:52 24
18 Pro Livorno 34 5 6 23 31:84 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)