Sport Picks
Lornano Badesse vs Montespaccato
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 
Match Events
32'
32'
Lucatti G.
(Penalty)
65'
65'
Lucatti G.
80'
80'
Antogiovanni G.
AI Match Summary
Lornano Badesse in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lornano Badesse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lornano Badesse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lornano Badesse lately — more wins on the board than Montespaccato.
- Lornano Badesse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 68%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lornano Badesse | Montespaccato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Montespaccato
2:1
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Montespaccato vs Lornano Badesse
2:1
Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Montespaccato
3:0
Apr 7, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Montespaccato vs Lornano Badesse
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lornano Badesse Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Montespaccato Compare
Top Goalscorer Antogiovanni G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lornano Badesse 95 / 100
Montespaccato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lornano Badesse Montespaccato
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Lornano Badesse scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Montespaccato has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.
Lornano Badesse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Montespaccato
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lornano Badesse
(Home) 15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0 Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3 Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0 Arezzo
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Montespaccato
14 Apr
Lornano Badesse
3 : 1 Sporting Trestina
03 Apr
Lornano Badesse
0 : 0 Mobilieri Ponsacco
13 Mar
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Flaminia
Page 1 of 3
Montespaccato
(Away) 03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0 Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3 Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2 Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0 Montespaccato
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2 Montespaccato
29 Mar
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1 Montespaccato
15 Mar
Budoni Calcio
0 : 2 Montespaccato
15 Feb
Olbia
0 : 1 Montespaccato
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86:30 | 81 |
| 2 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 61:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Arezzo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 65:45 | 64 |
| 4 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 63:30 | 63 |
| 5 | Pianese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 6 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47:43 | 54 |
| 7 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:43 | 49 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49:50 | 46 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36:48 | 42 |
| 10 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Mobilieri Ponsacco | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 12 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 14 | FC Rieti | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 39:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:65 | 35 |
| 16 | Unipomezia | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:64 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 27:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Pro Livorno | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:84 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)
