Sport Picks
Lornano Badesse vs Tiferno Lerchi
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
Lornano Badesse play Tiferno Lerchi in the Serie D - Group E 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lornano Badesse averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Tiferno Lerchi averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Lornano Badesse won 1, Tiferno Lerchi won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 30, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Lornano Badesse and 0.69 for Tiferno Lerchi. This points to a Lornano Badesse double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lornano Badesse picked up more points recently compared to Tiferno Lerchi.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lornano Badesse | Tiferno Lerchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lornano Badesse Compare
Tiferno Lerchi Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lornano Badesse scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Tiferno Lerchi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Lornano Badesse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tiferno Lerchi lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86:30 | 81 |
| 2 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 61:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Arezzo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 65:45 | 64 |
| 4 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 63:30 | 63 |
| 5 | Pianese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 6 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47:43 | 54 |
| 7 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:43 | 49 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49:50 | 46 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36:48 | 42 |
| 10 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Mobilieri Ponsacco | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 12 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 14 | FC Rieti | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 39:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:65 | 35 |
| 16 | Unipomezia | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:64 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 27:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Pro Livorno | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:84 | 21 |