Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Eduardo Gallardo, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Carrasco G. D.
34' Event
Fagundez F.
(Penalty)
34'

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Los Andes and Deportivo Moron finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Andes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Los Andes
20%
Draws
51%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Moron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Moron come out ahead of Los Andes on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Los Andes Clean Sheet 17%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Andes Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron
2:1
May 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Los Andes
0:0
Apr 20, 2019 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Los Andes
3:0
Sep 16, 2017 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Oct 7, 2014 Primera B
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Andes Compare

Top Goalscorer Tisera F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Deportivo Moron Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Andes 31 / 100
Deportivo Moron 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Andes Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Moron Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Los Andes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Los Andes scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Los Andes VS Deportivo Moron
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Andes

(Home)
04 Oct
Godoy Cruz
2 : 1
Los Andes
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Los Andes
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
09 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1
Los Andes
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)