Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Angeles FC vs Alajuelense

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup BMO Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Bran Flores A. J.
46'
Sub
Parkins R. In: Badilla I.
Out: Parkins R.
56' Event
Bouanga D.
Assist: Son Heung-Min

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CONCACAF Champions Cup matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Los Angeles FC
28%
Draws
22%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Los Angeles FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Los Angeles FC have won more games recently than Alajuelense.
  • Win probability leans Los Angeles FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 68%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Alajuelense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Alajuelense vs Los Angeles FC
1:2
Mar 11, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Alajuelense
1:1
Mar 16, 2023 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Alajuelense
1:2
Mar 10, 2023 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Alajuelense vs Los Angeles FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouanga D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bran Flores A. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 59 / 100
Alajuelense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Alajuelense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Alajuelense has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Los Angeles FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Alajuelense
1 Goals Scored 1.4
2 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toluca-
TBD-
UNAM Pumas2
San Diego FC4
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sporting San Miguelito1
Cruz Azul8
Vancouver FC0
Monterrey3
Xelaju1
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Los Angeles FC7
Real Espana1
Inter Miami-
TBD-
Nashville SC7
Atletico Ottawa0
Club America2
Olimpia1
Philadelphia Union12
Defence Force0
Tigres UANL4
Forge FC1
FC Cincinnati13
Universidad O&M0
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Cartagines0
1/8-finals
Toluca6
San Diego FC3
Mount Pleasant0
Los Angeles Galaxy6
Cruz Azul4
Monterrey3
Alajuelense2
Los Angeles FC3
Inter Miami1
Nashville SC1
Club America2
Philadelphia Union1
Tigres UANL5
FC Cincinnati4
Seattle Sounders5
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Quarter-finals
Toluca7
Los Angeles Galaxy2
Cruz Azul1
Los Angeles FC4
Nashville SC1
Club America0
Tigres UANL3
Seattle Sounders3
Semi-finals
Toluca5
Los Angeles FC2
Nashville SC0
Tigres UANL2
Final
Toluca2
Tigres UANL1