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Los Angeles FC vs Cruz Azul

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup BMO Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Son Heung-Min
Assist: Choiniere M.
34'
Garcia A.
39' Event
Martinez D.
Assist: Choiniere M.

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles FC in this CONCACAF Champions Cup matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Angeles FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Los Angeles FC
44%
Draws
20%
Cruz Azul
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cruz Azul at 2.13 per game, Los Angeles FC at 1.13.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 10%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Cruz Azul
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Cruz Azul vs Los Angeles FC
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Cruz Azul
3:0
Dec 17, 2020 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Cruz Azul
2:1
Mar 19, 2020 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Cruz Azul vs Los Angeles FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Son Heung-Min
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cruz Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 34 / 100
Cruz Azul 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Cruz Azul

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cruz Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Los Angeles FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Cruz Azul
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toluca-
TBD-
UNAM Pumas2
San Diego FC4
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sporting San Miguelito1
Cruz Azul8
Vancouver FC0
Monterrey3
Xelaju1
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Los Angeles FC7
Real Espana1
Inter Miami-
TBD-
Nashville SC7
Atletico Ottawa0
Club America2
Olimpia1
Philadelphia Union12
Defence Force0
Tigres UANL4
Forge FC1
FC Cincinnati13
Universidad O&M0
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Cartagines0
1/8-finals
Toluca6
San Diego FC3
Mount Pleasant0
Los Angeles Galaxy6
Cruz Azul4
Monterrey3
Alajuelense2
Los Angeles FC3
Inter Miami1
Nashville SC1
Club America2
Philadelphia Union1
Tigres UANL5
FC Cincinnati4
Seattle Sounders5
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Quarter-finals
Toluca7
Los Angeles Galaxy2
Cruz Azul1
Los Angeles FC4
Nashville SC1
Club America0
Tigres UANL3
Seattle Sounders3
Semi-finals
Toluca5
Los Angeles FC2
Nashville SC0
Tigres UANL2
Final
Toluca2
Tigres UANL1