Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Angeles FC vs Cruz Azul

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Son Heung-Min
Assist: Choiniere M.
34'
Garcia A.
39' Event
Martinez D.
Assist: Choiniere M.

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles FC in this CONCACAF Champions Cup tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Los Angeles FC
6%
Draws
4%
Cruz Azul
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Los Angeles FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cruz Azul at 1.88 per game, Los Angeles FC at 1.75.
  • Model gives Los Angeles FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Los Angeles FC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 11%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Cruz Azul
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Cruz Azul vs Los Angeles FC
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Cruz Azul
3:0
Dec 17, 2020 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Cruz Azul
2:1
Mar 19, 2020 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Cruz Azul vs Los Angeles FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Son Heung-Min
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cruz Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 83 / 100
Cruz Azul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Cruz Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Los Angeles FC scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Los Angeles FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cruz Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Cruz Azul
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Los Angeles FC
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City
23 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1
Real Salt Lake
18 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
Los Angeles FC
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
El Salvador
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul

(Away)
26 Jul
Toluca
1 : 3
Cruz Azul
22 Jul
Cruz Azul
2 : 1
Puebla
18 Jul
Atletico San Luis
2 : 3
Cruz Azul
05 Jul
Club Atletico Morelia
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
25 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toluca-
TBD-
UNAM Pumas2
San Diego FC4
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sporting San Miguelito1
Cruz Azul8
Vancouver FC0
Monterrey3
Xelaju1
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Los Angeles FC7
Real Espana1
Inter Miami-
TBD-
Nashville SC7
Atletico Ottawa0
Club America2
Olimpia1
Philadelphia Union12
Defence Force0
Tigres UANL4
Forge FC1
FC Cincinnati13
Universidad O&M0
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Cartagines0
1/8-finals
Toluca6
San Diego FC3
Mount Pleasant0
Los Angeles Galaxy6
Cruz Azul4
Monterrey3
Alajuelense2
Los Angeles FC3
Inter Miami1
Nashville SC1
Club America2
Philadelphia Union1
Tigres UANL5
FC Cincinnati4
Seattle Sounders5
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Quarter-finals
Toluca7
Los Angeles Galaxy2
Cruz Azul1
Los Angeles FC4
Nashville SC1
Club America0
Tigres UANL3
Seattle Sounders3
Semi-finals
Toluca5
Los Angeles FC2
Nashville SC0
Tigres UANL2
Final
Toluca2
Tigres UANL1