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Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Los Angeles FC Logo

Los Angeles FC

Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Los Angeles Galaxy Logo

Los Angeles Galaxy

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles FC host Los Angeles Galaxy in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Los Angeles Galaxy have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Los Angeles FC have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.42. Past meetings favor Los Angeles FC slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.50) back Los Angeles FC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Los Angeles FC
35%
Draws
41%
Los Angeles Galaxy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Los Angeles Galaxy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Los Angeles Galaxy haven't matched Los Angeles FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 16%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Los Angeles Galaxy
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
0:3
Jul 20, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3:3
May 19, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
4:2
Jul 5, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 30 / 100
Los Angeles Galaxy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles Galaxy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Angeles FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Los Angeles FC scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Los Angeles Galaxy has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Los Angeles FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Los Angeles Galaxy
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
17 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
Los Angeles FC
15 Oct
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1
Austin FC
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
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Los Angeles Galaxy

(Away)
18 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 2
San Diego FC
15 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
11 Oct
St. Louis City
6 : 2
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
9 FC Cincinnati 29 9 9 11 60:70 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 29 7 12 10 37:51 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)