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Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Los Angeles FC Logo

Los Angeles FC

4 - 0
FT
Sporting Kansas City Logo

Sporting Kansas City

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Garcia M.
5' Event
Son Heung-Min
37' Event
Bouanga D.
Assist: Choiniere M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles FC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Angeles FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Los Angeles FC
30%
Draws
41%
Sporting Kansas City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Kansas City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Los Angeles FC lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Kansas City.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Los Angeles FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 14%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Sporting Kansas City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.39 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC
3:1
Jul 26, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
4:0
Jun 9, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouanga D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Son Heung-Min
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sporting Kansas City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 35 / 100
Sporting Kansas City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Sporting Kansas City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Kansas City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Los Angeles FC scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Los Angeles FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Sporting Kansas City
1 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Kansas City

(Away)
11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3
Portland Timbers
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)