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Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
0 - 0
02:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Blackmon T.
10'
Sub
Sabbi E. In: Laborda M.
Out: Sabbi E.
25'
Choiniere M.

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles FC host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Vancouver Whitecaps have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Los Angeles FC have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Los Angeles FC have won 1 to Vancouver Whitecaps's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Vancouver Whitecaps. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Los Angeles FC
30%
Draws
31%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Los Angeles FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 16%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles FC Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
3:2
Jun 30, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:1
May 11, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles FC 31 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles FC Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vancouver Whitecaps conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Los Angeles FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles FC VS Vancouver Whitecaps
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles FC

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)