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Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA
Los Angeles Galaxy Logo

Los Angeles Galaxy

Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Portland Timbers Logo

Portland Timbers

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles Galaxy host Portland Timbers in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Portland Timbers have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Los Angeles Galaxy have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Portland Timbers slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.75, favoring Portland Timbers. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Los Angeles Galaxy
20%
Draws
23%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Angeles Galaxy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portland Timbers come out ahead of Los Angeles Galaxy on wins alone.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 12%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles Galaxy Portland Timbers
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
1:0
Apr 28, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
2:4
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:1
Sep 19, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles Galaxy 47 / 100
Portland Timbers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles Galaxy Portland Timbers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Angeles Galaxy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Los Angeles Galaxy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles Galaxy VS Portland Timbers
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles Galaxy

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers

(Away)
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)