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Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA
Los Angeles Galaxy Logo

Los Angeles Galaxy

1 - 0
FT
San Jose Earthquakes Logo

San Jose Earthquakes

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Miller H.
29'
Fernandez N.
37'
Sanabria L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles Galaxy in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Angeles Galaxy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Los Angeles Galaxy
30%
Draws
37%
San Jose Earthquakes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes have won more games recently than Los Angeles Galaxy.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Los Angeles Galaxy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 14%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles Galaxy San Jose Earthquakes
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:0
Jul 26, 2026 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:1
May 29, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes
0:1
Aug 1, 2024 Leagues Cup
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles Galaxy Compare

Top Goalscorer Paintsil J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles Galaxy 35 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles Galaxy San Jose Earthquakes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Los Angeles Galaxy's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Los Angeles Galaxy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles Galaxy VS San Jose Earthquakes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles Galaxy

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

San Jose Earthquakes

(Away)
11 Oct
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)