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Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA
Los Angeles Galaxy Logo

Los Angeles Galaxy

1 - 1
FT
Seattle Sounders Logo

Seattle Sounders

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Reus M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Rothrock P. In: Gomez S.
Out: Rothrock P.
62'
Sub
Kossa-Rienzi K. In: Kingston P.
Out: Kossa-Rienzi K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Los Angeles Galaxy
20%
Draws
45%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Angeles Galaxy haven't matched Seattle Sounders's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Seattle Sounders's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 12%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles Galaxy Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders
1:1
May 17, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2:2
Aug 28, 2025 Leagues Cup
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders
0:2
Aug 11, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Angeles Galaxy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Seattle Sounders Compare

Top Goalscorer Arriola P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles Galaxy 22 / 100
Seattle Sounders 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles Galaxy Seattle Sounders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seattle Sounders let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Los Angeles Galaxy has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Los Angeles Galaxy VS Seattle Sounders
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Angeles Galaxy

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Sounders

(Away)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)