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Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles Galaxy play St. Louis City in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Angeles Galaxy averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. St. Louis City averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 1, St. Louis City won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 11, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.56 for St. Louis City. This points to a Los Angeles Galaxy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Los Angeles Galaxy
31%
Draws
34%
St. Louis City
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Los Angeles Galaxy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Angeles Galaxy picked up more points recently compared to St. Louis City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 15%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Angeles Galaxy St. Louis City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.65 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City
3:0
Jun 14, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3:3
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City
0:3
Sep 1, 2024 MLS
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Angeles Galaxy 35 / 100
St. Louis City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Angeles Galaxy St. Louis City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Angeles Galaxy attacking → ← attacking St. Louis City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

St. Louis City let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Los Angeles Galaxy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. Louis City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 40
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75