Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Los Cabos United play Tritones Vallarta in the Liga Premier Serie A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Cabos United averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Tritones Vallarta averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Los Cabos United won 2, Tritones Vallarta won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Los Cabos United and 1.31 for Tritones Vallarta. This points to a Tritones Vallarta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Los Cabos United

15%

Draws

43%

Tritones Vallarta

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tritones Vallarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Los Cabos United picked up more points recently compared to Tritones Vallarta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 18%

Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Los Cabos United	Tritones Vallarta
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	14	16
Draws	4	3
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.57	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

4:1

Mar 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Oct 29, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Mar 30, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Cabos United 41 / 100

Tritones Vallarta 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Los Cabos United Tritones Vallarta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tritones Vallarta or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Cabos United attacking → ← attacking Tritones Vallarta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Cabos United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Tritones Vallarta let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Los Cabos United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tritones Vallarta lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 51

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17