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Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta Prediction & H2H Stats

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
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Match Events

11' Event
32' Event
39' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Los Cabos United and Tritones Vallarta finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Cabos United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Los Cabos United
20%
Draws
15%
Tritones Vallarta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Cabos United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Cabos United come out ahead of Tritones Vallarta on wins alone.
  • Los Cabos United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 20%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Cabos United Tritones Vallarta
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Premier
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
4:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Los Cabos United
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Tritones Vallarta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Cabos United 58 / 100
Tritones Vallarta 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Cabos United Tritones Vallarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Cabos United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Los Cabos United scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Tritones Vallarta has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Los Cabos United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Los Cabos United VS Tritones Vallarta
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Cabos United

(Home)
27 Sept
Purepechas
0 : 1
Los Cabos United
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 7

Tritones Vallarta

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)