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Los Caimanes vs Cienciano

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Carty G.
35' Event
Obeso J.
45' Event
Carty G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2019 game between Los Caimanes and Cienciano finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cienciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Los Caimanes
28%
Draws
50%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Los Caimanes haven't matched Cienciano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cienciano's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cienciano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 20%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Caimanes Cienciano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2019 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Cienciano
2:3
Jun 16, 2019 Liga 2
Cienciano vs Los Caimanes
5:0
Oct 21, 2018 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Cienciano
1:1
Jul 8, 2018 Liga 2
Cienciano vs Los Caimanes
4:1
Aug 27, 2017 Liga 2
Cienciano vs Los Caimanes
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Caimanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Carty G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Obeso J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romagnoli J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Caimanes 24 / 100
Cienciano 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Caimanes Cienciano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Los Caimanes's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Los Caimanes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cienciano
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cienciano22142656:2644
2Alianza Atl.22134545:2143
3Juan Aurich22133635:2442
4Atletico Grau22132752:3041
5Santos FC22125529:2141
6Deportivo Coopsol22123739:2739
7Comerciantes Unidos22103932:3333
8Union Huaral2287730:2931
9Los Chankas22931025:3330
10Sport Loreto22531428:4615
11Los Caimanes22221821:555
12Sport Victoria2221199:567