Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Torrejon C.
28'
Moreno X.
37'
Ramos Rodriguez C. I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Los Chankas and Deportivo Garcilaso finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Garcilaso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Los Chankas
30%
Draws
34%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Los Chankas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Chankas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Los Chankas a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 18%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas
3:0
Feb 10, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Apr 29, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Chankas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportivo Garcilaso Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 36 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Deportivo Garcilaso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Garcilaso conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Los Chankas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Los Chankas VS Deportivo Garcilaso
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016