Sport Picks
Los Chankas vs AD Tarma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas 
AI Match Summary
Los Chankas host AD Tarma in the Liga 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. AD Tarma have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Los Chankas have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor AD Tarma slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.56) back Los Chankas to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AD Tarma haven't matched Los Chankas's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Los Chankas's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Los Chankas | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Tarma has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Los Chankas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: AD Tarma registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Los Chankas
(Home)AD Tarma
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
