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Stadium Background

Los Chankas vs Cusco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Chankas host Cusco in the Liga 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cusco have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Los Chankas have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Los Chankas slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.88) back Los Chankas to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Los Chankas
20%
Draws
44%
Cusco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cusco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Cusco's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what Los Chankas have produced (1.37).
  • Win probability leans Cusco's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%
Cusco Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Cusco
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Cusco
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
3:3
Oct 17, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs Los Chankas
2:1
May 4, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Cusco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 26 / 100
Cusco 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Cusco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cusco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cusco conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Los Chankas's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Los Chankas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Chankas VS Cusco
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Chankas

(Home)
16 Oct
Los Chankas
2 : 1
AD Tarma
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
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Cusco

(Away)
16 Oct
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Cusco
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2
A. Lima
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
2 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
3 Juan Pablo II 12 6 4 2 23:13 22
4 FBC Melgar 12 6 4 2 22:13 22
5 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 7 1 4 20:11 22
6 A. Lima 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
8 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
9 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
10 Sport Boys 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
11 Atletico Grau 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
12 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
13 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
14 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)