Sport Picks
Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas 
Match Events
27'
27'
Pretel L.
Own Goal
36'
36'
Cuesta B.
Assist: Bordacahar C.
46'
46'
Sub
Ospina J. In: Vasquez A.
Out: Ospina J.
AI Match Summary
FBC Melgar in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBC Melgar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FBC Melgar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Los Chankas have won more games recently than FBC Melgar.
- Model gives FBC Melgar a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Los Chankas | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar
0:3
Feb 27, 2026 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Los Chankas
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Los Chankas
6:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Los Chankas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Los Chankas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
FBC Melgar Compare
Top Goalscorer Cuesta B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bordacahar C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Los Chankas 10 / 100
FBC Melgar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Los Chankas FBC Melgar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FBC Melgar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Los Chankas scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: FBC Melgar conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Los Chankas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Los Chankas VS FBC Melgar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Los Chankas
(Home) 08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0 Los Chankas
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1 Los Chankas
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4 Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4 Juan Pablo II
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3 FBC Melgar
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
19 Jul
Los Chankas
1 : 0 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 3
FBC Melgar
(Away) 11 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 FBC Melgar
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1 FBC Melgar
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 FBC Melgar
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1 FBC Melgar
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3 FBC Melgar
02 Aug
Moquegua
0 : 0 FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
