Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Chankas vs Universitario de Deportes

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Torres F.
Assist: Quiroz A.
29'
Santamaria A.
41'
Carabali J.

AI Match Summary

Los Chankas host Universitario de Deportes in the Liga 1. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Los Chankas at 1.13 goals for, 1.13 against; Universitario de Deportes at 0.38 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Los Chankas have won 2 to Universitario de Deportes's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.75, favoring Los Chankas. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Los Chankas
40%
Draws
29%
Universitario de Deportes
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Chankas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Universitario de Deportes.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 20%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Universitario de Deportes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Universitario de Deportes
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Universitario de Deportes
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Los Chankas
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Universitario de Deportes
0:0
May 25, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Los Chankas
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayarza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveros W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 32 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Universitario de Deportes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Universitario de Deportes let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Los Chankas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Universitario de Deportes lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Chankas VS Universitario de Deportes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016