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Los Llanos vs Panaderia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Llanos play Panaderia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Llanos averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Panaderia averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Los Llanos won 0, Panaderia won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 11, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Los Llanos and 1.24 for Panaderia. This points to a Panaderia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Los Llanos
35%
Draws
45%
Panaderia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Panaderia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Los Llanos picked up more points recently compared to Panaderia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Los Llanos Clean Sheet 19%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Llanos Panaderia
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 12
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs Panaderia
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Los Llanos
1:1
Dec 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs Panaderia
1:4
Aug 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Los Llanos
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Llanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Panaderia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yanez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Llanos 22 / 100
Panaderia 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Llanos Panaderia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Panaderia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Llanos attacking → ← attacking Panaderia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Llanos scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Panaderia let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Los Llanos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Panaderia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 54
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Las Palmas B342210266:1776
2UD San Fernando342110358:2073
3Tamaraceite34189748:2963
4Ibarra341851149:4059
5Mensajero341681050:3756
6Lanzarote341671156:3355
7Panaderia3413111045:3950
8CD Marino3412111143:4547
9Arucas341291338:3645
10San Bartolome341015943:3545
11Villa Santa Brigida3410111334:4241
12Herbania3410101433:4140
13CD Santa Ursula3410101429:4240
14San Miguel341071736:5437
15CD Buzanada34952027:5432
16Estrella34791830:5730
17Los Llanos34772025:5228
18Union Viera343102128:6519