Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Molinos CF vs Atarfe Industrial

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Molinos CF play Atarfe Industrial in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Molinos CF averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. Atarfe Industrial averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Los Molinos CF won 3, Atarfe Industrial won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 25, 2015 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Los Molinos CF and 1.30 for Atarfe Industrial. This points to a Atarfe Industrial double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Los Molinos CF
16%
Draws
44%
Atarfe Industrial
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Atarfe Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Molinos CF picked up more points recently compared to Atarfe Industrial.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Los Molinos CF Clean Sheet 19%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Molinos CF Atarfe Industrial
Matches Played 33 39
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.09 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.54

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Molinos CF vs Atarfe Industrial
4:3
Sep 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Los Molinos CF
1:0
Feb 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Molinos CF vs Atarfe Industrial
1:0
Oct 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Los Molinos CF
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Molinos CF 40 / 100
Atarfe Industrial 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Molinos CF Atarfe Industrial

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atarfe Industrial or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Molinos CF attacking → ← attacking Atarfe Industrial

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Molinos CF scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Atarfe Industrial let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Los Molinos CF went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atarfe Industrial lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marbella38275681:3786
2Linares382410470:2882
3Malaga B38257674:3482
4Loja38247788:4479
5Mancha382261051:3172
6Velez381910960:3167
7Martos381791265:4960
8Villacarrillo3816111163:4659
9Huetor Tajar3814111336:4253
10Atarfe Industrial381481648:4950
11Maracena381541944:4449
12Espanol Alquian381471758:7149
13Antequera381281843:5444
14UD San Pedro3811111634:5444
15CD Ronda381271948:5843
16Los Molinos CF381271952:6443
17Los Villares381262036:5542
18Melilla B381172044:6640
19AD Huercal38413329:10613
20Union Estepona CF38243216:7710