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Los Villares vs Alhaurin

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Los Villares host Alhaurin in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Los Villares have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Alhaurin's 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Los Villares have won 2 to Alhaurin's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2016, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 0.93) point toward Los Villares. Los Villares in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Los Villares
17%
Draws
13%
Alhaurin
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Alhaurin has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Los Villares.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Los Villares.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 20%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Villares Alhaurin
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Los Villares
1:2
Sep 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Alhaurin
1:0
Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Alhaurin
0:0
Nov 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Los Villares
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Villares 67 / 100
Alhaurin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Villares Alhaurin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Villares scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Alhaurin let in goals in 69% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Los Villares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alhaurin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alhaurin
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linares38277488:2688
2Malaga B38236969:3675
3UD San Pedro382110765:3573
4Martos382251166:4271
5Loja38209955:3669
6Huetor Tajar3817111053:3762
7Los Villares3815131043:3758
8Maracena381691366:5257
9Guadix381118949:4951
10Mancha3813111436:3450
11Velez3813101549:4749
12Espanol Alquian381461853:7048
13Ejido381381755:7547
14CD Ronda381271952:6343
15Antequera3810121651:5542
16Alhaurin381181943:7441
17Atarfe Industrial389101953:7037
18Villacarrillo38872332:6431
19Atletico Melilla38792229:5830
20Los Molinos CF38682432:7926