Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015

Atletico Melilla

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Los Villares play Atletico Melilla in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. Los Villares are favorites here. Recently, Los Villares averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Atletico Melilla averaged 0.43 goals scored and 3.3 conceded. In past meetings, Los Villares won 2, Atletico Melilla won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2015 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Los Villares and 0.68 for Atletico Melilla. This points to a Los Villares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Los Villares

20%

Draws

15%

Atletico Melilla

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Los Villares picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Melilla.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Los Villares Clean Sheet 28%

Atletico Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Los Villares	Atletico Melilla
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	0
Draws	7	5
Losses	14	25
Goals Scored	1.2	0.43
Goals Conceded	1.57	3.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Los Villares vs Atletico Melilla

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Nov 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Atletico Melilla vs Los Villares

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Villares 64 / 100

Atletico Melilla 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Los Villares Atletico Melilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Villares Win (1)

Secondary Pick Los Villares & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Villares attacking → ← attacking Atletico Melilla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Villares scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Melilla let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Los Villares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Melilla lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 5

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Linares	38	27	7	4	88:26	88
2	Malaga B	38	23	6	9	69:36	75
3	UD San Pedro	38	21	10	7	65:35	73
4	Martos	38	22	5	11	66:42	71
5	Loja	38	20	9	9	55:36	69
6	Huetor Tajar	38	17	11	10	53:37	62
7	Los Villares	38	15	13	10	43:37	58
8	Maracena	38	16	9	13	66:52	57
9	Guadix	38	11	18	9	49:49	51
10	Mancha	38	13	11	14	36:34	50
11	Velez	38	13	10	15	49:47	49
12	Espanol Alquian	38	14	6	18	53:70	48
13	Ejido	38	13	8	17	55:75	47
14	CD Ronda	38	12	7	19	52:63	43
15	Antequera	38	10	12	16	51:55	42
16	Alhaurin	38	11	8	19	43:74	41
17	Atarfe Industrial	38	9	10	19	53:70	37
18	Villacarrillo	38	8	7	23	32:64	31
19	Atletico Melilla	38	7	9	22	29:58	30
20	Los Molinos CF	38	6	8	24	32:79	26