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Los Villares vs Espanol Alquian

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Los Villares and Espanol Alquian finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Villares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Los Villares
6%
Draws
4%
Espanol Alquian
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Espanol Alquian haven't matched Los Villares's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Los Villares taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Los Villares have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 20%
Espanol Alquian Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Villares Espanol Alquian
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 0
Losses 14 29
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Espanol Alquian
3:0
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Espanol Alquian vs Los Villares
1:2
May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Espanol Alquian
2:0
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Espanol Alquian vs Los Villares
1:2
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Espanol Alquian
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Villares 85 / 100
Espanol Alquian 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Villares Espanol Alquian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Espanol Alquian conceded in 97% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Espanol Alquian has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Los Villares scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Los Villares VS Espanol Alquian
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Villares

(Home)
15 May
Antequera
5 : 0
Los Villares
08 May
Los Villares
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Comarca Del Marmol
2 : 3
Los Villares
23 Apr
Los Villares
3 : 0
River Melilla
17 Apr
Martos
3 : 2
Los Villares
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Espanol Alquian

(Away)
15 May
Comarca Del Marmol
3 : 0
Espanol Alquian
08 May
Espanol Alquian
0 : 3
River Melilla
01 May
Martos
3 : 0
Espanol Alquian
24 Apr
Espanol Alquian
0 : 3
CD Ronda
17 Apr
Huetor Tajar
3 : 0
Espanol Alquian
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linares38277488:2688
2Malaga B38236969:3675
3UD San Pedro382110765:3573
4Martos382251166:4271
5Loja38209955:3669
6Huetor Tajar3817111053:3762
7Los Villares3815131043:3758
8Maracena381691366:5257
9Guadix381118949:4951
10Mancha3813111436:3450
11Velez3813101549:4749
12Espanol Alquian381461853:7048
13Ejido381381755:7547
14CD Ronda381271952:6343
15Antequera3810121651:5542
16Alhaurin381181943:7441
17Atarfe Industrial389101953:7037
18Villacarrillo38872332:6431
19Atletico Melilla38792229:5830
20Los Molinos CF38682432:7926
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)