Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Villares vs Maracena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Villares play Maracena in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Villares averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Maracena averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Los Villares won 2, Maracena won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 14, 2016 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Los Villares and 0.93 for Maracena. This points to a Los Villares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Los Villares
35%
Draws
27%
Maracena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Los Villares picked up more points recently compared to Maracena.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 24%
Maracena Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Villares Maracena
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 13
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.2 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Los Villares
0:0
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Maracena
1:1
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Maracena
3:2
Dec 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Los Villares
0:1
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Maracena
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Villares 39 / 100
Maracena 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Villares Maracena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Los Villares or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Villares attacking → ← attacking Maracena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Villares scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Maracena let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Los Villares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maracena lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Linares38277488:2688
2Malaga B38236969:3675
3UD San Pedro382110765:3573
4Martos382251166:4271
5Loja38209955:3669
6Huetor Tajar3817111053:3762
7Los Villares3815131043:3758
8Maracena381691366:5257
9Guadix381118949:4951
10Mancha3813111436:3450
11Velez3813101549:4749
12Espanol Alquian381461853:7048
13Ejido381381755:7547
14CD Ronda381271952:6343
15Antequera3810121651:5542
16Alhaurin381181943:7441
17Atarfe Industrial389101953:7037
18Villacarrillo38872332:6431
19Atletico Melilla38792229:5830
20Los Molinos CF38682432:7926