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Los Villares vs Melilla B

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014 game between Los Villares and Melilla B finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Villares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Los Villares
15%
Draws
26%
Melilla B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melilla B come out ahead of Los Villares on wins alone.
  • Model gives Los Villares a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 20%
Melilla B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Villares Melilla B
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Melilla B
4:1
Sep 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Los Villares
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Villares 49 / 100
Melilla B 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Villares Melilla B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Villares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Los Villares scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Los Villares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Melilla B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Melilla B
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Villares

(Home)
15 May
Antequera
5 : 0
Los Villares
08 May
Los Villares
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Comarca Del Marmol
2 : 3
Los Villares
23 Apr
Los Villares
3 : 0
River Melilla
17 Apr
Martos
3 : 2
Los Villares
Page 1 of 7

Melilla B

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0
Motril
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marbella 38 27 5 6 81:37 86
2 Linares 38 24 10 4 70:28 82
3 Malaga B 38 25 7 6 74:34 82
4 Loja 38 24 7 7 88:44 79
5 Mancha 38 22 6 10 51:31 72
6 Velez 38 19 10 9 60:31 67
7 Martos 38 17 9 12 65:49 60
8 Villacarrillo 38 16 11 11 63:46 59
9 Huetor Tajar 38 14 11 13 36:42 53
10 Atarfe Industrial 38 14 8 16 48:49 50
11 Maracena 38 15 4 19 44:44 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 7 17 58:71 49
13 Antequera 38 12 8 18 43:54 44
14 UD San Pedro 38 11 11 16 34:54 44
15 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 48:58 43
16 Los Molinos CF 38 12 7 19 52:64 43
17 Los Villares 38 12 6 20 36:55 42
18 Melilla B 38 11 7 20 44:66 40
19 AD Huercal 38 4 1 33 29:106 13
20 Union Estepona CF 38 2 4 32 16:77 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)