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Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Highland League 2025/2026 game between Lossiemouth and Fraserburgh finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fraserburgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lossiemouth
20%
Draws
80%
Fraserburgh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fraserburgh come out ahead of Lossiemouth on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fraserburgh a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fraserburgh here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lossiemouth Clean Sheet 11%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lossiemouth Fraserburgh
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh
0:4
Feb 7, 2026 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh
0:4
Sep 10, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth
5:0
Feb 22, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Lossiemouth
5:0
Sep 21, 2024 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Fraserburgh
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lossiemouth 10 / 100
Fraserburgh 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lossiemouth Fraserburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraserburgh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lossiemouth scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Fraserburgh conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Fraserburgh has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lossiemouth VS Fraserburgh
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lossiemouth

(Home)
19 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 0
Lossiemouth
16 Sept
Lossiemouth
0 : 2
Deveronvale
05 Sept
Clachnacuddin
4 : 0
Lossiemouth
29 Aug
Inverurie Loco Works
3 : 1
Lossiemouth
22 Aug
Lossiemouth
0 : 4
Fraserburgh
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Fraserburgh

(Away)
19 Sept
Wick Academy
2 : 3
Fraserburgh
16 Sept
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Formartine Utd
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0
Fraserburgh
05 Sept
Deveronvale
3 : 1
Fraserburgh
29 Aug
Fraserburgh
2 : 2
Clachnacuddin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 34 23 6 5 97:35 75
2 Brechin 34 23 5 6 78:23 74
3 Formartine Utd 34 20 11 3 65:27 71
4 Fraserburgh 34 21 5 8 75:39 68
5 Clachnacuddin 34 18 7 9 78:40 61
6 Banks O' Dee 34 16 10 8 58:35 58
7 Keith 34 17 7 10 52:47 58
8 Buckie Thistle 34 16 5 13 62:47 53
9 Nairn County 34 15 4 15 56:52 49
10 Turriff United 34 13 9 12 60:50 48
11 Huntly 34 11 10 13 46:43 43
12 Forres Mechanics 34 11 7 16 52:67 40
13 Strathspey Thistle 34 13 2 19 49:83 38
14 Deveronvale 34 11 4 19 46:87 37
15 Inverurie Loco Works 34 9 6 19 47:66 30
16 Wick Academy 34 7 7 20 42:65 28
17 Lossiemouth 34 4 5 25 20:76 17
18 Rothes 34 1 4 29 33:134 7
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)