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Lota Schwager vs S. Morning - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Quiroga L.
46'
Sub
Bravo D. In: Navarrete G.
Out: Bravo D.
53'
Navarrete G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lota Schwager
35%
Draws
29%
S. Morning
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lota Schwager

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lota Schwager lately — more wins on the board than S. Morning.
  • Lota Schwager are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lota Schwager Clean Sheet 20%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lota Schwager S. Morning
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Segunda Division
Lota Schwager vs S. Morning
1:1
Jun 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Lota Schwager vs S. Morning
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Segunda Division
S. Morning vs Lota Schwager
1:1
Mar 22, 2015 Liga de Ascenso
Lota Schwager vs S. Morning
2:1
Feb 1, 2015 Liga de Ascenso
S. Morning vs Lota Schwager
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lota Schwager Compare

Top Goalscorer Quiroga L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

S. Morning Compare

Top Goalscorer Arancibia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lota Schwager 42 / 100
S. Morning 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lota Schwager S. Morning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lota Schwager's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

S. Morning's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lota Schwager has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lota Schwager VS S. Morning
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lota Schwager

(Home)
03 Oct
Real San Joaquin
0 : 2
Lota Schwager
26 Sept
Lota Schwager
1 : 2
Provincial Ovalle
29 Aug
Atletico Colina
0 : 0
Lota Schwager
22 Aug
Lota Schwager
1 : 1
S. Morning
16 Aug
Deportes Rengo
1 : 0
Lota Schwager
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S. Morning

(Away)
11 Oct
S. Morning
1 : 2
Real San Joaquin
12 Sept
S. Morning
0 : 0
General Velasquez
06 Sept
Deportes Rengo
2 : 2
S. Morning
30 Aug
S. Morning
0 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
22 Aug
Lota Schwager
1 : 1
S. Morning
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