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Lota Schwager vs S. Morning

Chile Chile

Segunda Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lota Schwager play S. Morning in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lota Schwager averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. S. Morning averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Lota Schwager won 1, S. Morning won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Lota Schwager and 1.00 for S. Morning. This points to a S. Morning double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lota Schwager
40%
Draws
29%
S. Morning
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Morning has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lota Schwager.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda Division provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lota Schwager Clean Sheet 20%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lota Schwager S. Morning
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Lota Schwager vs S. Morning
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Segunda Division
S. Morning vs Lota Schwager
1:1
Mar 22, 2015 Liga de Ascenso
Lota Schwager vs S. Morning
2:1
Feb 1, 2015 Liga de Ascenso
S. Morning vs Lota Schwager
1:0
Oct 26, 2014 Liga de Ascenso
S. Morning vs Lota Schwager
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lota Schwager Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

S. Morning Compare

Top Goalscorer Manriquez Hernandez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lota Schwager 32 / 100
S. Morning 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lota Schwager S. Morning

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lota Schwager scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

S. Morning let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lota Schwager went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

S. Morning lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lota Schwager VS S. Morning
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santiago City1155116:1520
2Brujas Salamanca114709:419
3Concon National1153312:818
4Trasandino1153318:1518
5Real San Joaquin1134415:1213
6Atletico Colina1123610:139
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno1165013:323
2Colchagua CD1164115:722
3Linares Unido1151512:1216
4General Velasquez114169:1513
5Lota Schwager113359:1112
6Deportes Rengo1132610:1511
7S. Morning122469:1410