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Loto vs AS Cotonou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loto host AS Cotonou in the Ligue 1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Loto have averaged 1.1 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against AS Cotonou's 0.83 scored and 0.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Loto slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.56) point toward Loto. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Loto
30%
Draws
23%
AS Cotonou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Loto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Loto come out ahead of AS Cotonou on wins alone.
  • Model gives Loto a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Loto Clean Sheet 20%
AS Cotonou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loto AS Cotonou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.1 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Loto vs AS Cotonou
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Cotonou vs Loto
0:0
May 5, 2024 Ligue 1
AS Cotonou vs Loto
0:0
Mar 31, 2024 Ligue 1
Loto vs AS Cotonou
1:1
Jun 8, 2023 Ligue 1
AS Cotonou vs Loto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loto 49 / 100
AS Cotonou 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loto AS Cotonou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loto's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Loto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

AS Cotonou's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: AS Cotonou conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Loto VS AS Cotonou
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loto

(Home)
03 Oct
Loto
0 : 2
Buffles du Borgou
26 Sept
Dynamo Abomey
1 : 2
Loto
20 Jun
Coton FC
1 : 1
Loto
13 Jun
Loto
1 : 0
ASPAC
06 Jun
JS Pob
1 : 1
Loto
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AS Cotonou

(Away)
03 Oct
AS Cotonou
2 : 0
Dragons
27 Sept
Hodio
3 : 0
AS Cotonou
20 Jun
AS Cotonou
1 : 1
Espoir Savalou
13 Jun
Sobemap
1 : 0
AS Cotonou
06 Jun
AS Cotonou
0 : 1
Coton FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buffles du Borgou 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 ASPAC 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Cavaliers 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
4 Hodio 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 Bani Ganse 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Pantheres FC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Krake 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 ASVO 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Ayema 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
10 Loto 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 AS Cotonou 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Djeffa 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Sobemap 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
14 Damissa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Coton FC 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Dragons 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Espoir Savalou 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
18 Dynamo Abomey 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)