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Lotohaapai vs Kiwi

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Lotohaapai Logo

Lotohaapai

1 - 9
FT
Kiwi Logo

Kiwi

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Scanlan P.
11' Event
Mano L.
26' Event
Malo S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2019 game between Lotohaapai and Kiwi finished 1-9, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiwi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lotohaapai
15%
Draws
42%
Kiwi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lotohaapai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kiwi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lotohaapai's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kiwi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lotohaapai Clean Sheet 10%
Kiwi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lotohaapai Kiwi
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.62 2.48
Goals Conceded 4 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2019 OFC Champions League
Lotohaapai vs Kiwi
1:9
Oct 17, 2013 OFC Champions League
Lotohaapai vs Kiwi
2:4
May 5, 2012 OFC Champions League
Kiwi vs Lotohaapai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lotohaapai Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33

Kiwi Compare

Top Goalscorer Scanlan P.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Mano L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lotohaapai 83 / 100
Kiwi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lotohaapai Kiwi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lotohaapai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kiwi conceded in 95% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lotohaapai scored in 67% of their last 21 outings.

Away concern: Kiwi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lotohaapai VS Kiwi
1.83 Goals Scored 2.25
2.83 Goals Conceded 3.5
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lotohaapai

(Home)
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Tupapa
4 : 1
Lotohaapai
27 Jan
Pago Youth
1 : 5
Lotohaapai
11 Oct
Puaikura
1 : 0
Lotohaapai
09 Oct
FC SKBC
1 : 4
Lotohaapai
Page 1 of 5

Kiwi

(Away)
01 Mar
Ba
5 : 1
Kiwi
26 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 13
Team Wellington
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Kiwi 3 2 0 1 14:8 6
3 Lotohaapai 3 1 0 2 7:14 3
4 Pago Youth 3 0 0 3 5:11 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Main)